Paul Douglas On Weather
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How Warm Did It Get Sunday?

MSP airport made it to 92F on Sunday, marking the fourth consecutive day with a 90F+ high in the Twin Cities. The only record high set in the state was in Park Rapids.

Just remember, it could be the opposite:


Heat Continues Into The Work Week

The Heat Advisory that was in place through Sunday evening has now been extended through 8 PM Thursday. This is due to the hot temperatures that will continue to be in the 90s for highs and lows in the mid-70s. These hot temperatures, with no real relief occurring at night, could cause heat illnesses.

Not too much to say here as another hot day of weather is ahead on Monday in the Twin Cities under mainly sunny skies. Morning temperatures start off in the mid-70s with highs topping off in the low 90s.

Looking statewide, another hot data is expected for most locations as highs climb into the 80s and 90s. The coolest temperatures will be near Lake Superior, where areas like Grand Marias will stay in the 70s. These highs will be 10F-20F degrees above average. A few storms could pop across northern Minnesota during the late afternoon or evening hours, otherwise, mainly sunny skies are expected.

Highs at climate locations across the state Monday are expected to remain below the records for the day. Several locations out in South Dakota, however, could see record highs to begin the work week.

The heat wave continues over the next several days with highs in the 90s expected through at least Thursday in the Twin Cities. While the above graphic shows highs in the 80s on Friday, I do think there's still a chance we could hit 90F before a cold front moves through. There will be a chance of isolated afternoon storms Tuesday and Wednesday, but a better chance of rain moves in late Thursday into Friday as that cold front moves in.

And overnight lows are going to continue to be warm as well. Through Friday evening, there will be some areas of southern Minnesota - including the Twin Cities - that don't drop below 70F.


Fire Weather Watch Monday

Due to potential critical fire weather conditions across northern Minnesota Monday, including the heat, low humidity values, gusty winds, and dry fuels, a Fire Weather Watch is in place from the morning through the evening hours.


Severe Threat Monday

A few of those storms across northern Minnesota late Monday could be on the strong side, with a Marginal and Slight Risk of severe weather in place. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats, however, we can't rule out a tornado mainly over in the Dakotas.


Longer Heat Waves On/Before June 15th Are Not Common

This stretch of early-season heat will go down in the record book for more than just the record highs that have been set. The Minnesota State Climatology Department complied some early-season (occurring on or before June 15th) heat stats, and only found five times in Twin Cities history where there have been at least five consecutive days with a high of 90F or greater. The most on record are six in a row, set three times - most recently between May 24-29, 2018, which included the earliest 100F on record on Memorial Day 2018. If highs do remain at or above 90F through at least Thursday as the current forecast shows, we would have the longest stretch on record on or before June 15th.

As we look at the longest 90F+ stretches on record (not limited to any date range) we are going to be nowhere near the 14 consecutive days observed back in July of 1936. However, we do look to get seven days in a row (last Friday through this Thursday), which would tie for the 15th longest stretch on record with seven days. If we can get a 90F+ high on Friday as well, this would tie for the ninth-longest overall stretch on record.

That forecast through Thursday would also put us tied for sixth place in most 90F+ degree highs that have occurred on or before June 15th at seven. Friday could make it fourth place if we can get up to 90F. Stats: Minnesota State Climatology Department


Heat Safety Tips


Setting Up For 9th Longest Stretch of 90s?
By Paul Douglas

If we reach 90F into Friday (8 days/row of 90-plus) it'll be the 9th longest stretch of consecutive 90s on record at MSP. By comparison 2006 and 1988 saw 9 straight days of 90-degree fun. The record: 14 consecutive days of 90s or higher in July, 1936.

My 90 year old dad took a road trip into the desert southwest with college buddies in 1951. No A/C, they were lucky the windows rolled down. Pops taught me a few hot weather hacks. Grip a can of cold pop for a long time before you actually drink it to cool down your blood temperature. Really. He had a cool trick: ice cubes under a baseball hat and letting them melt many hours. I've tried both and yes, they work!

It's hot, dry and dusty out there - my pontoon was scraping bottom much of the weekend. That old adage "when in a drought don't forecast rain" rings true. The first chance of widespread showers and T-storms comes Friday.

After slight relief next weekend (80s now qualify as cool fronts) we heat up again next week. Hot and dry may be the norm this summer.


Paul's Extended Twin Cities Forecast

MONDAY: Hot sunshine. Wake up 75. High 94. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind S 8-13 mph.

TUESDAY: Hazy sunshine, more humidity. Wake up 75. High 92. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind SE 8-13 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Some sun, another free sauna. Wake up 74. High 92. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind SE 8-13 mph.

THURSDAY: Sticky sun, stray T-shower late. Wake up 76. High 93. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind SE 7-12 mph.

FRIDAY: More numerous showers, T-storms. Wake up 75. High 91. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind S 10-20 mph.

SATURDAY: Sunny, breezy and less humid. Wake up 68. High 86. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind W 10-20 mph.

SUNDAY: Blue sky, brief break from Dog Days. Wake up 66. High 84. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind NW 15-25 mph.


Minneapolis Weather Almanac And Sun Data
June 7th

*Length Of Day: 15 hours, 30 minutes and 16 seconds
*Daylight GAINED Since Yesterday: ~1 minute and 0 seconds

*When Do We Have The Most Daylight? June 20-21 (15 hours, 36 minutes, and 50 seconds)
*When Is The Earliest Sunrise Of The Year?: June 13-17 (5:25 AM)
*When Is The Sunset At/After 9 PM?: June 12th (9:00 PM)


This Day in Weather History
June 7th

2011: The Twin Cities reach a high of 103 degrees, shattering the previous record high by 8 degrees.

1939: Grapefruit-sized hail falls in Rock County, killing hundreds of farm animals near Hills.


National Weather Forecast

A widespread area of at least isolated showers and storms is expected Monday from the Colorado Rockies eastward to the Atlantic Ocean. Some rain and higher elevation snow will also be possible in the Pacific Northwest.

Several record highs are expected to fall on Monday in the upper Midwest and in New England. Caribou, ME, could see their first 90F of the year as the high climbs to 91F, which would shatter the record for the day of 84F in 1991.

More heavy rain will impact areas of the Gulf Coast and lower Mississippi Valley over the next few days, with 2-4"+ possible. This could cause flooding issues, especially since this area has been hard hit over the past month with heavy rain.


Threat of flooding in coastal Louisiana and Texas after waterlogged spring

More from the Capital Weather Gang: "If you live along the western Gulf of Mexico coast, odds are that this spring had you ready to build an ark. Some parts of Texas and Louisiana have seen more than 2½ feet of rainfall since the start of April, and more is on the way. Another three to six inches of rain, and maybe more in spots, is set to target already waterlogged areas through early next week. Flash flood watches are in effect for much of the Louisiana coastline. In Texas, numerous rivers and streams have overtopped their banks due to recent rains, prompting flood warnings for waterways in the zone from around Victoria to Beaumont."

Ongoing fish kill on the Klamath River is an 'absolute worst-case scenario'

More from High Country News: "The video shows clear river water washing over rocks as sunlight dances in the shallows. Small slivers of white that look like leaves float on the surface. But they aren't leaves; they're the bodies of juvenile salmon, most of them no longer than a finger, dead from a warm-water disease exacerbated by drought on the Klamath River. The caption to the video, filmed by Yurok Vice Chairman Frankie Joe Myers, is stark: "This is what climate change looks like when we don't act." Fish have been dying on the Klamath since around May 4, according to the Yurok Tribal Fisheries Department. At that time, 97% of the juvenile salmon caught by the department's in-river trapping device were infected with the disease C. shasta, and were either dead, or would die within days. Over a two-week period, 70% of the juvenile salmon caught in the trap were dead."

Plant Competition during Climate Change

More from the University of Freiburg: "The researchers set up a field study in the Park Tapada Real in the small Portuguese town of Vila Viçosa. The focus was on how cork oak (Quercus suber) handles two stressors: the first being extreme drought; and the other, the invasive plant species gum rockrose (Cistus ladanifer). The study has great relevance because both stress factors are currently clearly on the increase. At the same time, there was a gap in research on the issue. Researchers have up to now rarely looked at how different, interacting stress factors influence ecosystems. The researchers were in part surprised by their findings. "The factors interacted more dynamically than we expected," says Haberstroh, who did the investigative work for his doctoral thesis. During wet years, the interacting stressors didn't cause any significant changes in the cork oak, while in dry conditions, the factors either amplified or buffered each other. One surprising result was also that cork oak, despite the double burden, was able to recover better than had been expected after extreme drought. The researchers observed that happens above all when the invasive gum rockrose shrubs were seriously compromised by the drought as well."


Thanks for checking in and have a great day! Don't forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser).

- D.J. Kayser