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Excessive Heat Concerns
HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 101 expected on Thursday afternoon and early evening.
* WHERE...Hennepin, Anoka, Ramsey, Washington, Carver, Scott and Dakota Counties.
* WHEN...For the Excessive Heat Warning, from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Thursday. For the Heat Advisory, until 11 AM CDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any circumstances. Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.
Extended Heat Wave Continues
"Twin Cities Observed and Forecast Temperatures During the June 2021 Heat Wave. Heat wave update: The Twin Cities broke the record for the longest 90 degree day streak this early in the season on Wednesday (day 7). Also, 5 of the last 6 days have seen record warm lows at MSP Airport. Lows have been around the average high of 77 degrees at MSP. #mnwx #wiwx. This is the first time we've gone more than 6 days since late June/early July of 2012. Today's record high is 95 from 1976 and it is definitely in play."
June 2021 Heat Wave
"It's not the heat, it's the longevity! A heat wave of historic duration and intensity for so early in the season has gotten summer 2021 off to a toasty start in Minnesota. Warm air arrived on Thursday June 3rd, with temperatures ratcheting up substantially Friday and Saturday. Intense heat remained in place over most of the state Sunday, and over the southern 2/3 to 3/4 of the state during the week. The heat originated from southerly flow that developed between an area of low pressure over the Rockies, and a large are of high pressure in the southeastern US. With neither weather system moving much, the southerly winds maintained a steady feed of hot, and eventually humid air into the region. Things got started on Thursday June 3rd, with temperatures rising well into the 80s across the state, with 90s in central, southern, and especially western Minnesota. Though this day produced the highest temperatures to date at many stations, it was a mere appetizer to the heat-feast that would follow."
See more from the State Climatology Office HERE:
Simulated Radar From 7AM Thursday to 7AM Friday
Here's the simulated radar from 7AM Thursday to 7AM Friday, which shows fairly quiet conditions on Thursday across much of the state with the exception of a few isolated PM storms. The best chance of storms arrives on Friday, especially late in the day when scattered storms develop late in the day from the Twin Cities north. Some of the storms could be a little bit on the more vigorous side with locally heavy rainfall.
Rainfall Potential Through AM Saturday
The rainfall potential through AM Saturday shows a few pockets of heavier rainfall across the region. Keep in mind that the heaviest rain tallies will be quite isolated and will be found where any of the thunderstorms develop through Friday.
Thursday Weather Outlook
The weather outlook for the Twin Cities on Thursday shows very warm temps in place with highs warming into the upper 90s, which will be nearly +20F above average. Dewpoints will be elevated, so feels like temps may warm to near 100F by the afternoon.
Minneapolis Meteograms
The meteograms for Minneapolis on Thursday shows temps warming into the mid/upper 90s by the afternoon with hot sunshine much of the day. Southwesterly winds will blow around 10mph to 15mph through the day.
Minneapolis Meteograms
The hourly dewpoint forecast for Minneapolis on Thursday shows readings in the mid/upper 60s for much of the day, which means that with temps warming into the upper 90s, feels like temps may be closer to 100F by late afternoon.
Regional Weather Outlook for Thursday
The weather outlook across the region on Thursday shows temps warming to well above average levels with highs approaching the century mark in a few spots. A few locations could break records for early/mid June.
Extended Weather Outlook for Minneapolis
The extended weather outlook for Minneapolis shows temps still warming into the upper 80s and lower 90s through early next week. This will still be nearly +10F to +15F above average. Keep in mind that the Twin Cities is at its warmest start to any June on record with the average temperature sitting nearly +15F above average.
Weather Outlook AM Thursday to AM Monday
The regional weather outlook from AM Thursday to AM Monday shows chances of showers and storms moving through the region late Thursday into Friday and possibly again into early next week. The best chance of strong thunderstorms will be across the Dakotas late Thursday into Friday morning.
Precipitation Potential Through 7PM Friday
The precipitation outlook through 7PM Friday shows heavier rainfall potential across the Dakotas and into western/northern Minnesota, where some 1" tallies can't be ruled out.
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook shows warmer than average temps across much of the western half of the nation including much of the Midwest. Meanwhile, folks in the southern and eastern US look to remain cooler than average.
Another Shot at the Century Mark Today
By Paul Douglas
"It ain't the heat, it's the humility" quipped legendary baseball player and coach Yogi Berra. I have friends who spend half the year in Scottsdale enjoying the "dry heat". Arizona is to summer what we are to winter: ouch-worthy. Locals get their errands done early in the morning or late evening hours. They wouldn't dream of being out in the afternoon sun or opening touching their car doors with anything less than oven mitts. Good times.
The latest wave of heat peaks today with upper 90s, even 100 degrees over western Minnesota. Unlike last week, dew points are high, making for a heat index above 100F later today. An Excessive Heat Warning may be issued by NOAA.
When there's this much water in the air your body can't cool itself naturally via evaporation of sweat off your skin- it's very easy to overheat. Slow down and stay hydrated.
A few thundershowers pop Friday but it won't be the widespread soaking we need. No lasting relief is in sight, 80s Saturday and Tuesday but 90s return later next week. Ouch.
Extended Forecast
THURSDAY: Steamy sun. Feels like 102. Winds: SW 8-13. High: 98.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and warm. Winds: SW 5-10. Low: 78.
FRIDAY: Sticky, few T-showers in the area. Winds: S 10-15. High: 91.
SATURDAY: Sunny and less humid. Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 68. High: 89.
SUNDAY: Blue sky, hot again. Winds: SW 10-15. Wake-up: 63. High: 93.
MONDAY: Sunny and more tolerable. Winds: N 10-20. Wake-up: 65. High: 86.
TUESDAY: Sunny and comfortable. Winds: NW 5-10. Wake-up: 61. High: 83.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny, trending hotter. Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 59. High: 92.
This Day in Weather History
June 10th
1926: An intense downpour falls on Mahoning. 3.05 inches fell in 45 minutes.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
June 10th
Average High: 77F (Record: 99F set in 1956)
Average Low: 57F (Record: 40F set in 1977)
Record Rainfall: 1.77" set in 1874
Record Snowfall: 0.00"
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
June 10th
Sunrise: 5:26am
Sunset: 8:58pm
Hours of Daylight: ~15 hours & 33 minutes
Daylight GAINED since yesterday: ~ 47 seconds
Daylight GAINED since Winter Solstice (December 21st): ~ 6 hours & 47 minute
Moon Phase for June 10th at Midnight
0.8 Days After New Moon
What's in the Night Sky?
"The young moon returns In June 2021, new moon happens on June 10 at 10:21 UTC. And so – by about June 11 – the young moon, a waxing crescent, returns to the evening sky. If you watch that evening, and in the evenings after that, you can also notice two planets, Venus and Mars. You can spot Regulus, Heart of the Lion in the constellation Leo, now about to descend into the sun's glare for another season. And you might also glimpse the stars Castor and Pollux in the constellation Gemini the Twins. They in such bright twilight, though, that they'll be tougher to see. Evening of June 11, 2021 For us in North America, the moon turned new during the early morning hours of June 10. That means – for us in North America – the moon will be well over one day (24 hours) old at sunset June 11, staying out for over one hour after sunset. On June 11, the sleek and slender young moon will be pairing up with the dazzling planet Venus on the sky's dome. That's not to say that moon watchers in the world's Eastern Hemisphere won't see the young moon after sunset June 11. But the younger and thinner moon may present more of a challenge, as an even paler crescent sets all the sooner after sunset."
National High Temps Thursday
The weather outlook on Thursday shows very summer-like temps in place across the Central US with temps running well above average, especially across the Midwest. Meanwhile, folks in the Western US will be running below average by nearly -5F to -15F
National Weather Outlook
The national weather outlook through PM Friday shows strong to severe storms developing across the High Plains and Dakotas with much needed rainfall. The front will push east through the Upper Midwest with a few showers/storms. Meanwhile, folks in the Mid-Atlantic States will see scattered showers and storms will locally heavy rainfall through the end of the week.
Extended Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Weather Prediction Center there is a chance of heavy rainfall across parts of the Mid-Atlantic State, while much needed rainfall will be found across the Central/High Plains. Unfortunately, there doesn't appear to be any appreciative rainfall in the Desert Southwest anytime soon.
Climate Stories
"Rapid heating of Indian Ocean worsening cyclones, say scientists"
"Rising ocean temperatures caused by climate crisis increasing number of cyclones and intensity of storms, say experts. India's cyclone season is being made more intense by the rapidly heating Indian Ocean, scientists have warned. Last week India was battered by Cyclone Tauktae, an unusually strong cyclone in the Arabian Sea, resulting in widespread disruption. This week, another severe storm, Cyclone Yaas, formed in the Bay of Bengal, leading to more than a million people being evacuated into safe shelters. The Indian subcontinent has been facing the brunt of costly and deadly tropical cyclones for decades. But scientists say global heating is accelerating the rate of ocean warming, leading to an increased number of cyclones and rapid intensification of weak storms, with severe repercussions for the country. Cyclones are much more likely to gather intensity over warmer waters. The Arabian Sea, part of the west Indian Ocean, generally has a sea surface temperature of below 28C (82F), and recorded just 93 cyclones between 1891 and 2000. By comparison, the warmer Bay of Bengal in the east Indian Ocean, where temperatures are permanently above 28C, recorded 350 cyclones over the same period."
See more from The Guardian HERE:
"As early season heat roasts U.S., records tumble in Middle East"
"At the same time as much of the Lower 48 states are seeing temperatures soar through the 90s, an unusually severe heat wave for this time of year has also struck the Middle East. Why it matters: While these extreme weather events have roots in various weather systems, human-caused climate change is raising the odds and worsening the severity of extreme heat events worldwide. Driving the news: In the U.S., the heat first built across the West's parched landscape in late May, causing drought to worsen further and helping fuel Arizona wildfires. The heat has since spread all the way to the Upper Midwest and Northeast, breaking records as it has done so. In the Twin Cities, for example, the ongoing heat wave could become the third-longest stretch of 90-degree days on record, Axios Twin Cities reported. Details: At the same time, an unusually severe early season heat wave has enveloped the Middle East and South Asia, prompting temperatures to spike above the 50°C (122°F) mark in at least five countries: Oman, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Iran and Pakistan. Typically, the hottest time of year in the Persian Gulf region as well as Pakistan comes in July."
"Peak tornado season runs from April through June — if you live in an affected area, you may need windstorm insurance"
"Tornado season runs from April to June. Homes in affected areas need to protect against high winds and hail damage. Standard homeowners insurance covers damage from wind and hail, but doesn't cover high winds. Windstorm insurance covers high winds, and it's available as an add-on rider to your homeowners insurance. Policygenius can help you compare homeowners insurance policies to find the right coverage for you, at the right price » Peak tornado season runs from April through June producing about 1,200 tornadoes a year, according to the Insurance Information Institute (III). If you live in an affected area, it pays to be prepared. Tornadoes can produce winds in excess of 300 miles per hour, as well as hail storms. Although wind and hail damage are covered in standard homeowners insurance policies, if you live in "tornado alley" or certain states where high winds are common, you may be need to get additional coverage for windstorm damage."