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Cold & Somewhat Snowy Stretch Ahead
It has been quite cold over the last couple of days and it appears that the cold is here to stay through at least Thanksgiving. The week ahead could feature a few scattered snow showers and perhaps even some light accumulations close to home. Here's the weather outlook through the week ahead, which shows light snow chances starting late Sunday night through at least midweek.
Snow Next Week?
According to the NBM model, there could be a few inches of snow as we head into the week ahead. Light shoveling duties maybe required across the state. Stay tuned...
Twin Cities Weather Outlook For Sunday
Sunday will be another very chilly day across the region with highs only warming to 30F in the Twin Cities. Note that our average high for this time of the year is in the low/mid 40s, so we'll be nearly 10F to 15F below average for mid November.
Weather Outlook on Sunday
Here's the weather outlook for Sunday, which shows temps only warming into the 20s across much of the state. These readings will be a good -10F to -15F below average for this time of the year. We'll see a little more sunshine that what we had on Saturday, but clouds will be on the increase again late in the day ahead of another light snow chance late Sunday night into early next week.
Feels Like Temps on Sunday
Feels like temps early Sunday morning will be chilly with readings down around 20F. Much of the day will feel subfreezing with wind chill values only 'warming' to around 30F in the afternoon.
Meteograms For Minneapolis
Temps on Sunday will still be quite cold for this time of the year. Readings in the morning will start in the low/mid 20s in the Twin Cities and will only warm to around 30F for the daytime high in the afternoon. Note that winds will generally be light with increasing clouds late in the day.
Precipitation Departure From Average This Fall
It has been a very dry Fall so far with precipitation running more than 4.52" below average (since September 1st). The September 1st - November 10th time period was the 6th driest on record.
Precipitation Departure From Average Since Jan. 1st
The Twin Cities is nearly 9.5" below average for the year, which is the 21st driest start to any year on record (through November 10th). Meanwhile, International Fall, MN is still nearly 9.71" above average, which is still the 2nd wettest start to any year on record there.
Drought Update
It has been a dry year for many across central and southern MN. Extreme drought continues across parts of the Twin Cities to the Minnesota River Valley where rainfall deficits have been the greatest. It would be nice to get a good soaking prior to heading into winter, but it doesn't appear that anything substantial is on the way anytime soon.
Continued Cold Through Mid November
The 850mb temp anomaly through most of next week shows below average temps across much of the Upper Midwest. It appears that the cold air is here to stay for quite some.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis shows well below average temperatures in place over the next several days. It'll feel more like winter with highs only warming into the 20s and lower 30s, which will be nearly -10F to -20F below average for this time of the year.
Extended Weather Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended weather outlook over the next 7 days shows well below average temperatures in place over the next several days. There could also be several days of light snow next week, which could mean light snow accumulations across the region. Stay tuned...
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
Here's the extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis through the last full week of November. The NBM Model shows well below average temperatures continuing with another surge of colder weather late next week/weekend.
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook shows colder than average temps in place across much of the nation and especially across the eastern two-thirds of the nation as we approach the week of Thanksgiving.
8 to 14 Day Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 Day precipitation outlook shows quieter weather in place across most of the eastern two-thirds of the nation.
Cold and somewhat snowy week ahead
By Todd Nelson, filling in for Douglas.
It's beginning to look a lot like winter every where you go. Take a look at highways 5 and 10, they're glistening once again with salt trucks and icy roads that glow... Not quite as elegant as a Bing Crosby version, but adequate for a Weird Al Yankovic cover?
After a mild and more September-like start to November, Mother Nature sent us spiraling into a more December-like scene late last week. There have been several reports of shivering Minnesotans; also appearing to be disoriented. Local meteorologists have been prescribing extra layers while dusting off cobwebs from the snow shovels buried deep in the garage.
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the extended temperature outlook keeps us colder than average through Thanksgiving. Ready or not, weather models continue to suggest that our first snow accumulations of the season are possible next week. Note, the MSP Airport typically averages around 7 inches during the month of November.
Bundle up and enjoy the ride, we're in it for the long haul now. Winter is coming!
Extended Forecast
SUNDAY: Cold. Increasing clouds. Winds: ESE 5. High: 31.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with light snow. Winds: Calm. Low: 24.
MONDAY: Light snow. Slippery coating possible. Winds: ESE 5. High: 33.
TUESDAY: Scattered snow showers. Slow commutes. Winds: NNE 5. Wake-up: 27. High: 32.
WEDNESDAY: Lingering light snow showers. Winds: NNW 5. Wake-up: 25. High: 30.
THURSDAY: Flake or flurry. Feels like January. Winds: WNW 7-12. Wake-up: 15. High: 25.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Well below average temps. Winds: WNW 7-12. Wake-up: 10. High: 17.
SATURDAY: Nippy winds. What month is it? Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 8. High: 28.
This Day in Weather History
November 13th
1986: Lakes are frozen over throughout much of the state, reaching as far south as Winona.
1938: A snowstorm develops across northern Minnesota. The barometer falls to 29.31 inches in Duluth.
1933: The first Great Dust Bowl Storm occurs. The sky darkened from Minnesota and Wisconsin to New York State.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
November 13th
Average High: 43F (Record: 71F set in 1999)
Average Low: 29F (Record: 0F set in 1986)
Record Rainfall: 1.04" set in 1951
Record Snowfall: 7.7" set in 2010
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
November 13th
Sunrise: 7:07am
Sunset: 4:46pm
Hours of Daylight: ~9 hours & 38 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~ 2 minutes & 26 seconds
Daylight LOST since Summer Solstice (June 21st): ~ 6 hour & 1 minutes
Moon Phase for November 13th at Midnight
2.3 Days Before Last Quarter Moon
National High Temps Sunday
The weather outlook on Sunday shows well below average temperatures across much of the nation with readings nearly -10F to -20F below average.
National Weather Outlook Sunday
The weather outlook for Sunday shows a little lingering precipitation across the Northeastern US with some light rain/snow chances. There is also a developing area of low pressure in the Southwest that will bring more widespread precipitation to the Central US into the week ahead.
National Weather Outlook
The weather outlook through Monday shows a decent storm system developing in the Central US with areas of heavy rain and snow farther north. This could cause some travel concerns for some locations.
Extended Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Weather Prediction Center, areas of heavy precipitation from Nicole will finally move off the Northeast coast. There will also be another surge of heavier rains in the Lower Mississippi Valley.
Snowfall Potential
According to the ECMWF (European model), there could be heavier snowfall from the Midwest to the Northeast over the coming days. Stay tuned...
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